Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 7.326357 8.373134 9.529612 10.904248 12.496526 14.286252 16.455103
2025-06-22 5.952623 7.316129 8.945094 11.042867 13.684685 16.916794 21.194483
2025-06-29 5.036198 6.523147 8.403296 10.971165 14.411907 18.897768 25.245938
2025-07-06 4.366523 5.899208 7.927964 10.834618 14.932682 20.564251 28.992748
2025-07-13 4.017148 5.632262 7.858325 11.186393 16.097580 23.174936 34.321422
2025-07-20 3.706860 5.370076 7.745937 11.435289 17.106868 25.638106 39.712419
2025-07-27 3.497325 5.221462 7.767072 11.861792 18.401700 28.643759 46.299395
2025-08-03 3.151120 4.827882 7.374992 11.599051 18.573654 29.888743 50.164014
2025-08-10 2.878780 4.518277 7.075869 11.440561 18.877028 31.351803 54.546008
2025-08-17 2.646018 4.247359 6.808243 11.297630 19.176121 32.817855 59.090077
2025-08-24 2.435995 3.993000 6.541404 11.122978 19.390320 34.140952 63.515728
2025-08-31 2.243196 3.749599 6.269276 10.907780 19.500626 35.273582 67.701540
2025-09-07 2.181321 3.726158 6.373223 11.376796 20.922888 39.014779 77.576796
2025-09-14 2.068154 3.603023 6.291286 11.496770 21.699522 41.613017 85.498420
2025-09-21 1.936856 3.435883 6.114932 11.419598 22.080344 43.466155 92.094004
2025-09-28 1.809208 3.264568 5.915598 11.276788 22.310428 45.030621 98.264877
2025-10-05 1.759484 3.233469 5.974041 11.644160 23.618349 48.987046 110.408445
2025-10-12 1.699554 3.177720 5.979849 11.904128 24.725969 52.639727 122.386934
2025-10-19 1.664786 3.167381 6.072151 12.349656 26.279657 57.460792 137.935018
2025-10-26 1.553620 2.997848 5.834489 12.075187 26.208869 58.574914 144.363200
2025-11-02 1.462864 2.862480 5.655228 11.909635 26.366039 60.235984 152.452100
2025-11-09 1.380818 2.738830 5.490419 11.760342 26.544056 61.964987 160.984920
2025-11-16 1.301887 2.615967 5.317900 11.577925 26.623947 63.461205 169.112167